A simple SIR model tested on COVID data from S-ward in Mumbai. This code has been used for the Homi Bhabha Balvaidnyanik Competition in 2021 for the project round.
Python packages used in the project are:
numpy
pandas
scipy
plotly
The model used in this study follows the very first fundamental model described by Kermack and McKendrick in 1927. It is assumed that birth and death rates are negligible in comparison to rate of infection and are thus not considered in this model. The equations describing the dynamics of the epidemic are :
where
The goal of the project was to estimate the value of
The estimated value for